Predictions > 2010 Midterm Election Predictions
Predictions
2010 Midterm Election Predictions
by William Stickevers
November 1, 2010
The following are astrologically derived predictions using polling and prediction market data. From October 1st-31st, 2010, I posted my predictive results for each race on my Facebook page and finally posted them on my website on November 1st, 2010. Each of the contest horary charts can be viewed on Facebook and will be posted on this website shortly.
Gubernatorial Race
Voters will elect governors in 37 states this November. Nineteen of those governorships are now held by Democrats, while Republicans sit in the governor’s chair in 18 of the states.
Ten states are currently viewed as Toss-Ups. The Toss-Up states are California, Florida, Colorado, Wisconsin, Maryland, Ohio, Minnesota, Connecticut, Oregon, Colorado, and Vermont. Using polling and prediction market data in conjunction with horary astrology we will forecast the 2010 gubernatorial winners for each Toss-Up state.
- California Governor - Brown (D) vs. Whitman (R)
Projected Winner: Jerry Brown
- Florida Governor - Scott (R) vs. Sink (D)
Projected Winner: Rick Scott
- Colorado Senate - Buck (R) vs. Bennet (D)
Projected Winner: Ken Buck
- Wisconsin Governor - Walker (R) vs. Barrett (D)
Projected Winner: Walker
- Maryland Governor - O’Malley (D)* vs. Ehrlich (R)
Projected Winner: Martin O’Malley
- Ohio Governor - Kasich (R) vs. Strickland (D)
Projected Winner: John Kasich
- Minnesota Governor - Dayton (D) vs. Emmer (R)
Projected Winner: Mark Dayton
- Connecticut Governor - Foley (R) vs. Malloy (D)
Projected Winner: Thomas Foley
- Oregon Governor - Dudley (R) vs. Kitzhaber (D)
Projected Winner: John Kitzhaber
- Vermont Governor - Shumlin (D) vs. Dubie (R)
Projected Winner: Peter Shumlin
Senate Race
There are seven Senate races that are Toss-Up and could also go either way on Election Day that will determine the balance of power in the U.S. Senate. The Toss-Up Senate States are California, Nevada, Illinois, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Washington, and West Virginia.
- California Senate – Boxer (D)* vs. Fiorina (R)
Projected Winner: Barbara Boxer
- Nevada Senate - Reid (D)* vs. Angle (R)
Projected Winner: Sharon Angle
- Illinois Senate - Kirk (R) vs. Giannoulias (D)
Projected Winner: Republican Mark Kirk
- Wisconsin Senate - Johnson (R) vs. Feingold (D)
Projected Winner: Ron Johnson
- Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey (R) vs. Sestak (D)
Projected Winner: Pat Toomey
- Washington Senate: Murray (D)* vs. Rossi (R)
Projected Winner: Dino Rossi
- West Virginia Senate Special Election – Manchin (D) vs. Raese (R)
Projected Winner: Joe Manchin
Congressional Race
There are 18 House of Representative districts that could go either way that the pundits are watching closely — races that will be employed as bellwethers on how big a night the Republicans are heading for on Election Day on November 2nd.
Again, using polling and prediction market data in conjunction with horary astrology we will forecast the 2010 House of Representative winners for each Toss-Up district.
Alabama 2nd District – Bright (D)* vs. Roby (R)
Projected Winner: Martha Roby
Arizona 5th District - Schweikert (R) vs. Mitchell (D)*
Projected Winner: David Schweikert
Florida 22nd District – West (R)* vs. Klein (D)
Projected Winner: Allen West
Hawaii 1st District – Hanabusa (D) vs. Djou (R)*
Projected Winner: Charles Djou
Illinois 17th District – Schilling (R) vs. Hare (D)*
Projected Winner: Bobby Schilling
Indiana 9th District - Hill (D)* vs. Young (R)
Projected Winner: Todd Young
Iowa 2nd District – Loebsack (D)* vs. Miller-Meeks (R)
Projected Winner: David Loebsack
Massachusetts 4th District – Frank (D)* vs. Bielat (R)
Projected Winner: Barney Frank
Michigan 7th District – Schauer (D)* vs. Walberg (R)
Projected Winner: Mark Schauer
Minnesota 8th District – Oberstar (D)* vs. Cravaack (R)
Projected Winner: Chip Cravaack
Missouri 4th District – Skelton (D)* vs. Hartzler (R)
Projected Winner: Vicky Hartzler
Nevada 3rd District – Heck (R) vs. Titus (D)*
Projected Winner: Joe Heck
New Mexico 1st District – Heinrich (D)* vs. Barela (R)
Projected Winner: Martin Heinrich
Ohio 18th District – Space (D)* vs. Gibbs (R)
Projected Winner: Bob Gibbs
Oregon 5th District – Schrader (D)* vs. Bruun (R)
Projected Winner: Kurt Schrader
Pennsylvania 8th District - Fitzpatrick (R) vs. Murphy (D)*
Projected Winner: Michael Fitzpatrick
South Dakota At-Large – Noem (R) vs. Herseth Sandlin (D)*
Projected Winner: Kristi Noem
Wisconsin 7th District – Duffy (R) vs. Lassa (D)
Projected Winner: Sean Duffy
* Denotes Incumbent Candidate
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